1-s2.0-S2351989425X00020-cov200h

Spatial and temporal responses of a predator-prey assemblage tothe COVID-19 anthropause

Authors: Dol Raj Thanet, Saneer Lamichhane, Tirtha Bahadur Kshetri, Madhu Chaudhari, Santosh Rayamajhi, Thakur Silwal

Abstract: Human recreation increasingly influences wildlife behavior, yet spatial and temporal responses
are rarely studied together. We used the COVID-19 lockdown and pre-lockdown survey periods in Bardia National Park, Nepal, as a quasi-experiment to investigate how sudden relaxation in human recreation alters site use and diel activity patterns of predator–prey assemblage. Using camera trapping data, we analyzed camera stations that were in operation during both survey periods within an identical 48-day temporal window [24 March–10 May; pre-lockdown (2019) vs. lockdown (2020)]. Spatial responses were estimated using a two-season, multi-species hierarchical site use model, and temporal responses with kernel density overlap and a probability of diurnality. Site use increased during the lockdown for apex predators and several ungulate prey, especially tiger, wild boar, and nilgai, while chital showed little change, and others showed highly uncertain changes with credible intervals overlapping zero. Prey ungulates broadly reclaimed daylight: chital and barking deer shifted mean activity peaks 2–3 h later, hog deer shifted earlier with a marked reshaping of its activity curve, and sambar moved from nocturnal to
crepuscular peaks. Tiger activity changed little overall, though diurnal activity decreased. Yearspecific
functional responses to greenness (NDVI), elevation, and human disturbance were mostly similar across years but with higher predicted site use in 2020, indicating increased habitat permeability rather than changes in habitat selection. These patterns suggest that spatial and temporal responses are only partly aligned across species, so management strategies that protect both where and when wildlife can operate—for example, zoning away from key corridors and quiet hours around dawn and dusk—may be most effective in maintaining access to critical habitats and activity periods.

Keywords: Human disturbance, Site use, Multi-species occupancy model, Diurnality, Diel activity patterns, Predator-prey interactions

Paper link : downlaod

Add a Comment

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *